Report: A Third of States Lost Population in 2021 | Tuesday morning coffee

Good Tuesday morning, Dear Researchers.
The pace of population growth nationwide was five times slower in 2021 than in the previous decade, with 17 states recording declines last year, according to new data compiled by the Pew Charitable Trusts.

While Pennsylvania escaped population loss in 2021, it was still among the five slowest growing states (0.23%) over the past decade, along with Connecticut, Michigan (0.19 % each) and Ohio and Wyoming (also 0.23% each), the Bench the analysis showed.

Due to its low population growth, the Commonwealth lost one seat in Congress in the last round of redistricting, dropping from 18 seats to 17. This also reduces the state’s Electoral College vote count from 20 to 19 (a for each seat in Congress, and one for each US Senator).

While the nationwide growth rate has been slowing for years, it has been exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Bench. But that wasn’t the only factor.

“In recent years, increasing mortality due to aging along with declining immigration and declining fertility rates were to blame. However, from July 2020 to July 2021, COVID-19 accelerated this trend For example, restrictions to curb the spread of the virus contributed to a drop in the number of new arrivals from abroad“, we read in the analysis.

“And the Centers for Disaster Control and Prevention estimates there have been at least 474,000 deaths associated with COVID-19 within the same 12 months. These deaths and declining immigration have contributed to historically small annual population gains in the United States (under one million for the first time since 1937), according to the United States Census Bureau“, he continued.

(The Pew Charitable Trusts)

This slow population growth over the past decade was particularly noticeable in the Northeast and Midwest, while the South and West were home to the fastest growing states, trends that mostly continued into 2021. , the Bench analysis found.

According to Bench, 10 of the 17 states that lost population in 2021 were in the Northeast and Midwest. New York has seen the biggest decline, losing 319,000 people since mid-2020, a drop of 1.58%, according to Bench.

Conversely, Idaho and Utah had the fastest growth rates in 2021, as well as over the past decade, according to Bench. In 2021, Idaho saw its population increase by 2.88%, adding 53,000 people – no small potatoes (sorry, I couldn’t help it).

Utah’s population, meanwhile, grew 1.72%, adding 56,000 new residents, according to Bench.

(Getty Pictures)

And if you think these population contractions and expansions have no real impact, think again:

A shrinking or slowly growing population can be both a cause and an effect of weakened economic prospects. States experiencing long-term population declines all fell near the bottom of economic growth during the 12 years of recovery of the Great Recession.

Less economic activity can limit government revenue. While a smaller population may lead to a reduction in some types of spending, it also means there are fewer residents to help cover the costs of long-standing commitments, such as debt and retirement benefits. state employees.

On the other hand, states with rapidly growing populations typically have strong labor force growth, which fuels economic activity and helps generate tax revenue to fund any increases in infrastructure spending, d education and other government services.

A few other highlights, according to Pew:

  • “Of the 17 states where population declined during the year, losses were greatest in New York (-1.58%), Illinois (-0.89%), Hawaii (-0 .71%) and in California (-0.66%). Losses in these states were driven by people who moved.
  • “Four states experienced population declines because more people moved in, and more people died than were born: Massachusetts, Mississippi, Michigan, and New Mexico. data does not separate COVID-19-related deaths from others.
  • “Excluding declining states, population grew more slowly during the year than during the 2010-20 period in 19 states. Among them, Washington, Colorado and Oregon have seen the biggest slowdown in growth from their decade-long pace.
  • “After Idaho and Utah, the population grew fastest in Montana (1.66%), Arizona (1.37%), South Carolina (1.17%), Delaware (1.16%) and Texas (1.06%).The gains in each came mostly from new residents moving into the state.
  • “Fourteen states grew faster than their 10-year rate. Idaho, Montana, Maine and New Hampshire accelerated the most.
  • “Nationally, gains from international migration exceeded gains from natural increase in 2021. This was the first time that newcomers from other countries contributed more to population growth than gains from births. in a given year, depending on the United States Census Bureau“, Bench researchers have found.
GOP US Senate hopefuls David McCormick (L) and Mehmet Oz (R) | Capital-Star Photo Collage by John L. Micek

Our things.
Weeks before the May 17 primary election, five Pennsylvania Republicans are campaigning for the US Senate on the debate stage Monday, Marley Parish reports.

At a press conference at the Capitol on Monday, educators warned of “financial havoc” rising costs for special education and pensions. They called on lawmakers to help, I report.

the Philadelphia Community College and the Philly Housing Authority have partnered to provide students with affordable housingour partners from Philadelphia Grandstand report.

Veteran Federal Prosecutor Jacqueline C. Romeroformer board member of Philadelphia LGBTQ Bar Associationwas nominated by President Joe Biden be the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Pennsylvaniaour partners from Philadelphia Gay News report.

On our feedback page this morning: The corruption case against Philadelphia City Council Member Kenyatta Johnsonwhich ended in a mistrial last week, is just one more example the selective and racist prosecution of black elected officialsregular notice Michael Coard nods. And misinformation is deadly – ​​what are we going to do about it? Kathie Obradovitcheditor of our sister site, the Iowa Capital Dispatch, takes up the question not at all rhetorical.

Josh Shapiro about to speak at a press conference
Attorney General and 2022 Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Josh Shapiro at a press conference outside Harrisburg on March 24, 2022. (Capital-Star Photo by Stephen Caruso)

Somewhere else.
He has no main opponent, but a Democrat Attorney General Josh Shapiro is still spends a lot on television in his bid for governorthe Applicant reports.

GOP candidate for U.S. Senate Mehmet Oz brags his approval of the old President Donald Trumpeven as he continues to face questions about his residency, the Post-Gazette reports.

The Democratic candidates for the United States Senate, meanwhile, answered questions about energy and other topics during a debate on Monday Dickinson College, PennLive reports.

Democratic Senate Hope Conor Lamb claimed an endorsement from the Philadelphia Parish that didn’t quite turn out that way. BillyPenn explains the tribal weirdness.

PolicyAP asks its readers who won the GOP U.S. Senate debate on Monday night.

Birds have died at a fourth Lancaster County farm because of the bird flu epidemic, LancasterOnline reports.

The Pennsylvania Child Welfare System has been the subject of harsh criticism in a new report, York Daily Record reports.

the coal industry sues to block Pennsylvania’s new carbon pricing system, the Associated press reports (via WITF-FM).

Erie pol Tyler Tite is in the running for a place for the Democratic State Committee, GoErie reports.

Roll Call commemorates life of the end U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, who died on saturday88 years old.

Here’s your Philadelphia #Instagram of the day:

What is happening
The House enters at 11 o’clock today. Get out the walking shoes, guys.
9:00 a.m., 140 Main Capitol: House appropriations and education committees.
9:30 a.m., 60 Wing East: House Finance Committee
9:30 a.m., G-50 Irvis: House Health Committee
10 a.m., 515 Ryan: Committee on Aging of the House and Services for the Elderly
10 a.m., 523 Irvis: House Transportation Committee
11:30 a.m. East wing: Dance teacher certification rally, apparently including dance legislators
11:30 a.m., Main Rotunda: Representatives Jennifer O’Mara, Sara Innammorato and more during National Infertility Awareness Week
12:30 p.m., Main Rotunda: Clean Power PA and Legislators on RGGI and Clean Energy
1:30 p.m., Capitol steps: Rally for driving licenses for undocumented people
Chairman’s call: House Environmental Resources and Energy Committee
Chairman’s call: House Social Services Committee
Chairman’s call: House Appropriations Committee

What’s Going On (Naked Political Edition)
And loosen up those checkbooks.
8am: Breakfast for Rep. Mindy Fee
8am: Breakfast for Representative Jason Silvis
8am: Breakfast for Representative Torren Ecker
8am: Breakfast for Representative Leanne Krueger
8am: Breakfast for Representative Martell Covington
8:30 a.m.: Breakfast for Rep. Liz Hanbidge
8:30 a.m.: Breakfast for Representative Gerald Mullery
11 a.m.: lunch for Representative Dan Frankel
11:30 a.m.: lunch for Senator Pat Browne
12 p.m.: Lunch for the House Candidate roni green
5 p.m.: Receipt for Representative Joe Emrick
5:30 p.m.: Receipt for Representative Mike Zabel
5:30 p.m.: Receipt for Representative Manny Guzman
6 p.m.: Receipt for Rep. Barry Jozwiak
Walk the circuit and give the max, and you lose $26,000 today.

Governor Tom Wolf should join legislators and advocates of ceasefire PA for a 12 p.m. event.

heavy spinning
This is an Australian classic The Saints. His ‘i’m stranded.’ And I was remiss in not stopping to mark the passing of the band’s lead singer, Chris Baileydied on April 9, at the age of 65. The Guardian obituary really highlights what made this band so special.

Tuesday Free Hockey Link
Chicago beat Philadelphia 3-1 in the solitude of monday evening NHL competition. the Leaflets are in last place Metropolitan Division as the regular season draws to a close.

And now you are up to date.